On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Permit should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2026-09-07, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
8.0OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Monday, September 7. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 8.0 on Monday, September 7. 9 mph ESE. Clear · 29%. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.9-0.90.00.91.9LHLHLHLHMon 8 AMTue 8 AMWed 8 AMThu 8 AM
outgoing · -1.39 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW9MPH

From ESE · gust 12

Sky

29% rain

Clear

Clear · 29%

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

20% lit

Waning crescent

mid range · 20%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.8 ft

outgoing

-1.39 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowMon 8:00 AM · -1.39
  • HighMon 2:00 PM · 1.36
  • LowMon 8:00 PM · -1.33
  • HighTue 2:00 AM · 1.29
  • LowTue 8:00 AM · -1.23

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Wednesday, August 26 · 8.8

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 16 mph · Clouds · 49%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.5

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Tarpon.
    skiffflyspin
  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.0

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.0

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit.
    skiffwadefly

When

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Mon 8:00 AMMon 10:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    10.0

    Mon 9:00 AMMon 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Mon 3:00 PMMon 10:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.7

    Mon 9:00 PMTue 4:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Tue 3:00 AMTue 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Clear · 29%. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 9 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

6.6

Thermal window

68°94°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

4.8

Thermal window

64°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 8 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.