Tarpon
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Andros
Permit should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-07-27. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Monday, July 27. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 8.1 on Monday, July 27 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · -0.77 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Sky not in
Sky not in
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
95% lit
Waxing gibbous
spring range · 95%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.0 ft
outgoing
-0.77 ft modeled
Clock
Modeled M2
- HighMon 3:00 AM · 1.06
- LowMon 9:00 AM · -1.00
- HighMon 4:00 PM · 0.96
- LowMon 10:00 PM · -0.93
- HighTue 4:00 AM · 0.88
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Sunday, August 30 · 9.2
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 67%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 7.5
Bights and creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Tarpon.
skiffflyspin - 7.0
West side white sand
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly - 7.0
East side ocean cays
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Outgoing water
8.5Mon 8:00 AM → Mon 11:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Incoming water
8.5Mon 11:00 AM → Mon 6:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Outgoing water
9.4Mon 5:00 PM → Tue 12:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.4Mon 11:00 PM → Tue 6:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.4Tue 5:00 AM → Tue 12:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Waxing gibbous moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
8.4
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
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Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.