Tarpon
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Andros
Bonefish should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-06-15, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Monday, June 15. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 7.4 on Monday, June 15. 4 mph E. Overcast. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
outgoing · 0.31 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From E · gust 8
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clouds
Overcast
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
0% lit
New
spring range · 0%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.5 ft
outgoing
0.31 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- HighMon 6:00 AM · 0.73
- LowMon 12:00 PM · -0.73
- HighMon 6:00 PM · 0.72
- LowTue 1:00 AM · -0.73
- HighTue 7:00 AM · 0.75
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Sunday, August 30
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.9 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 65%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 8.0
Bights and creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Tarpon, Bonefish.
skiffflyspin - 6.7
West side white sand
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly - 6.7
East side ocean cays
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Outgoing water
9.1Mon 8:00 AM → Mon 2:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Last light · incoming
8.8Mon 1:00 PM → Mon 8:00 PM
Last light on incoming water.
Last light · outgoing
7.8Mon 8:00 PM → Tue 3:00 AM
Last light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
9.1Tue 2:00 AM → Tue 9:00 AM
First light on incoming water.
Outgoing water
9.1Tue 8:00 AM → Tue 3:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Why — and who
- — Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Overcast. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
- — Wind 4 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — New moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
8.4
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.