On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — the creek mouths and the bights; tarpon live in the darker water.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2026-02-18. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.4OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, February 18. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 8.4 on Wednesday, February 18 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.8-0.90.00.91.8HLHLHLHLWed 7 AMThu 7 AMFri 7 AMSat 7 AM
outgoing · 0.48 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

2% lit

Waxing crescent

spring range · 2%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.7 ft

outgoing

0.48 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighWed 6:00 AM · 0.76
  • LowWed 1:00 PM · -0.77
  • HighWed 7:00 PM · 0.82
  • LowThu 1:00 AM · -0.86
  • HighThu 7:00 AM · 0.89

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.7

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.7

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.5

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 2:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Wed 2:00 PMWed 9:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.0

    Wed 8:00 PMThu 3:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Thu 2:00 AMThu 9:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Thu 8:00 AMThu 3:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing crescent moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

4.8

Thermal window

68°94°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.