On This Water

Bahamas · Andros

Bonefish should be the day — west-side white sand — schools, then the double-digit singles.

Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.

  • This brief is for 2025-06-29, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
  • No NDBC on this desk
  • Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
  • Glass · modeled
8.9OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Sunday, June 29. Back to this morning

Morning line

Andros 8.9 on Sunday, June 29. 10 mph WSW. Clear. YOLO day is Friday, August 28. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.1-1.00.01.12.1LHLHLHLHSun 8 AMMon 8 AMTue 8 AMWed 8 AM
incoming · 0.82 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW10MPH

From WSW · gust 14

Buoy

No station

None

No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Glass

Open-Meteo modeled

30.01 inHg

1016 mb · no 3-hour change yet

Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.

Moon

14% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 14%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.5 ft

incoming

0.82 ft modeled

Coast

No live coast layer

Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowSun 3:00 AM · -1.07
  • HighSun 9:00 AM · 1.09
  • LowSun 4:00 PM · -1.16
  • HighSun 10:00 PM · 1.21
  • LowMon 4:00 AM · -1.26

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Friday, August 28

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. full · spring · tide range ~1.5 ft · wind to 18 mph · Clouds · 58%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • West side white sand

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    8.4

    The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • East side ocean cays

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    8.4

    More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    skiffwadefly
  • Bights and creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.8

    Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.

    • creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Tarpon, Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Incoming water

    10.0

    Sun 8:00 AMSun 11:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Sun 11:00 AMSun 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Last light · incoming

    9.7

    Sun 5:00 PMMon 12:00 AM

    Last light on incoming water.

  • Last light · outgoing

    8.7

    Sun 11:00 PMMon 6:00 AM

    Last light on outgoing water.

  • First light · incoming

    10.0

    Mon 5:00 AMMon 12:00 PM

    First light on incoming water.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 10 mph WSW. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

8.4

Thermal window

68°94°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 6 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.