Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Bahamas · Andros
Bonefish should be the day — wait for the flood on the west side.
Bonefish capital. West-side white sand, schools by the acre, double-digit singles. Creeks and bights hold tarpon. Permit on the west side and outer cays May–October.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2024-12-27, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
- Glass · modeled
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Friday, December 27. Back to this morning
Morning line
Andros 7.6 on Friday, December 27. 4 mph NE. Clear. YOLO day is Saturday, August 29. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
low slack · -1.19 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From NE · gust 12
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clear
Clear
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Glass
Open-Meteo modeled
30.02 inHg
1017 mb · no 3-hour change yet
Modeled mean sea level. Not a dock barometer. The glass is not a bite.
Moon
11% lit
Waning crescent
mid range · 11%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.4 ft
low slack
-1.19 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowFri 7:00 AM · -1.19
- HighFri 2:00 PM · 1.17
- LowFri 8:00 PM · -1.14
- HighSat 2:00 AM · 1.09
- LowSat 8:00 AM · -1.04
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Saturday, August 29
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.6 ft · wind to 10 mph · Rain · 45%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 5.9
creek bight · field manual · mid
Resident tarpon Apr–Oct. Bones on the creek mouths on a moving tide.
- — creek bight on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffflyspin - 5.6
hard flat · field manual · skinny
The cathedral. Schools by the acre, double-digit singles at dusk. Oct–June is the honest peak.
- — hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffwadefly - 5.6
hard flat · public structure · skinny
More weather, fewer people than the west-side lodge water.
- — hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffwadefly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Incoming water
10.0Fri 9:00 AM → Fri 4:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · outgoing
10.0Fri 3:00 PM → Fri 10:00 PM
Last light on outgoing water.
Last light · incoming
8.1Fri 9:00 PM → Sat 4:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
8.1Sat 3:00 AM → Sat 10:00 AM
First light on outgoing water.
Incoming water
10.0Sat 9:00 AM → Sat 4:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Clear. Sky is workable.
- — Wind 4 mph NE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
7.3
Megalops atlanticus
Thermal window
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Off-season here.
Bahamas: treat as catch-and-release.
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
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Off-season here.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 4 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.