On This Water
Join

Seychelles · Alphonse / St François

Giant trevally should be the day — flood St François and the lagoon — bones first, then a GT on the rim. Work the leeward shore — fly gets harder.

The Seychelles flats photograph. Giant trevally on the atoll edges, bones and Indo-Pacific permit on St François. Lodge water — this is not a freelance wade. Tide is a modeled Indian Ocean clock. There is no NOAA gauge. Not the Caribbean. Not a rooster.

  • ⚠ This brief is for 2026-07-15, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
  • ⚠ Seychelles requires an SFA license. Outer atolls are lodge water. Ste Anne and other parks are marked — verify before you fish.
6.4OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, July 15. Back to this morning

Morning line

Alphonse 6.4 on Wednesday, July 15. 19 mph SE. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Sunday, August 30. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.1-1.0-0.01.02.0LHLHLHLHWed 4 AMThu 4 AMFri 4 AMSat 4 AM
incoming · -0.84 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW19MPH

From SE · gust 25

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

0% lit

New

spring range · 0%

Water

No gauge

Water

—

48°92°

Today’s range 1.9 ft

incoming

-0.84 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowWed 7:00 AM · -0.94
  • HighWed 1:00 PM · 0.92
  • LowWed 8:00 PM · -0.94
  • HighThu 2:00 AM · 0.96
  • LowThu 8:00 AM · -0.97

Seychelles tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing. There is no NOAA gauge on these atolls.

Monthly YOLO day

Sunday, August 30 · 7.0

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.4 ft · wind to 30 mph · Clouds · 36%

Stay or drive · Alphonse vs FarquharOpen the calendarMorning dispatch

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • St François flats

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.3

    The named neighbor atoll. Bones and Indo-Pacific permit. Lodge water. Do not freelance a park.

    • — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Permit, Giant trevally.
    skiffwadefly

  • Alphonse lagoon

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.7

    Inside the rim. Sight water. The GT lives on the edge, not in the bathtub.

    • — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • — In-play: Giant trevally.
    skiffflywade

When

  • Incoming water

    8.2

    Wed 8:00 AM → Wed 3:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Wed 3:00 PM → Wed 10:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Wed 9:00 PM → Thu 4:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Thu 3:00 AM → Thu 10:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    6.9

    Thu 10:00 AM → Thu 5:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Launch and beach access

Lodge and Victoria doors. SFA license. Outer atolls are not a freelance wade.

  • Alphonse lodge

    SFA / Alphonse Island

    Lodge water. St François is the neighbor atoll. Not a freelance wade.

    Official source

Legal water

No-take and closed water cited to the agency that owns it. Only the Keys box is FKNMS.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • — Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • — Mostly clear. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • — Wind 19 mph SE. This is a spin / structure / stay-home call.
  • — New moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

—

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Seychelles: Indo-Pacific permit / snubnose. Treat as C&R. Lodge and SFA rules. Not a Keys merkin fish with a different latin name pretending to be the same.

Giant trevally

Caranx ignobilis

6.6

Thermal window

—

68°94°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Seychelles: verify SFA. Lodge programs are typically catch-and-release. Not an Atlantic jack.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

4.8

Thermal window

—

64°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Seychelles: treat as C&R. Lodge and SFA rules on the outer atolls.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

—

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Incidental on the reef. Not a GT.

Regs citedSeychelles Fishing Authority · current SFA license and harvest · rolls in 7 days. Outer atolls are lodge water. Giant trevally lives here. Not on Texas. Not in Puerto Rico.