Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
In peak season for this water.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Bahamas · Abaco
Bonefish should be the day — sit the remaining Marls guts.
Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2027-01-05, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
Forecast
low confidence
Forecast brief for Tuesday, January 5. Back to this morning
Morning line
Abaco 7.7 on Tuesday, January 5. 4 mph E. Clear. YOLO day is Wednesday, August 26. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
low slack · -0.98 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
From E · gust 7
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Clear
Clear
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
7% lit
Waning crescent
mid range · 7%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.9 ft
low slack
-0.98 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowTue 7:00 AM · -0.99
- HighTue 2:00 PM · 0.96
- LowTue 8:00 PM · -0.93
- HighWed 2:00 AM · 0.89
- LowWed 8:00 AM · -0.84
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Monthly YOLO day
Wednesday, August 26
Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · spring · tide range ~1.8 ft · wind to 14 mph · Clouds · 15%
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 6.2
Great Guana ocean reef / bar
sand dropoff · field manual · mid
Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.
- — sand dropoff on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffspinfly - 5.9
Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.
- — creek bight on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffflyspin - 5.6
The Marls
hard flat · field manual · skinny
Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.
- — hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffwadefly - 5.6
Cherokee Sound
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.
- — hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
wadeskifffly
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Incoming water
10.0Tue 9:00 AM → Tue 4:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · outgoing
10.0Tue 3:00 PM → Tue 10:00 PM
Last light on outgoing water.
Last light · incoming
8.1Tue 9:00 PM → Wed 4:00 AM
Last light on incoming water.
First light · outgoing
8.1Wed 3:00 AM → Wed 10:00 AM
First light on outgoing water.
Incoming water
10.0Wed 9:00 AM → Wed 4:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Clear. Sky is workable.
- — Wind 4 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
- — Waning crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
7.3
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
Off-season here.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.