On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish should be the day — the Sea of Abaco edges as they empty.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-11-25. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.3OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, November 25. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 8.3 on Wednesday, November 25 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.5-0.80.00.81.5HLHLHLHLWed 7 AMThu 7 AMFri 7 AMSat 7 AM
outgoing · 0.02 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

99% lit

Full

spring range · 99%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.5 ft

outgoing

0.02 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighWed 5:00 AM · 0.68
  • LowWed 11:00 AM · -0.69
  • HighWed 6:00 PM · 0.69
  • LowThu 12:00 AM · -0.73
  • HighThu 6:00 AM · 0.76

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 12 mph · Clouds · 8%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.5

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    7.4

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.0

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.0

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly

When

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Wed 12:00 PMWed 7:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Wed 7:00 PMThu 2:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Thu 1:00 AMThu 8:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Thu 7:00 AMThu 2:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Full moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.