On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish should be the day — the Sea of Abaco edges as they empty.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-11-23, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.3OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Monday, November 23. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 7.3 on Monday, November 23. 6 mph SE. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.2-0.6-0.00.61.1LHLHLHLHMon 7 AMTue 7 AMWed 7 AMThu 7 AM
outgoing · -0.76 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW6MPH

From SE · gust 8

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

99% lit

Waxing gibbous

spring range · 99%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.6 ft

outgoing

-0.76 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowMon 9:00 AM · -0.79
  • HighMon 3:00 PM · 0.77
  • LowMon 9:00 PM · -0.73
  • HighTue 4:00 AM · 0.69
  • LowTue 10:00 AM · -0.69

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 12 mph · Clouds · 8%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.3

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    7.1

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.1

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.1

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly

When

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Mon 8:00 AMMon 11:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Mon 10:00 AMMon 5:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Mon 4:00 PMMon 11:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.3

    Mon 10:00 PMTue 5:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Tue 5:00 AMTue 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 6 mph SE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — spring tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.