On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish should be the day — the Marls and Cherokee on foot, or the ocean cays by skiff.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-11-21, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.1OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, November 21. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 7.1 on Saturday, November 21. 6 mph SE. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.5-0.8-0.00.71.5LHLHLHLHSat 7 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AMTue 7 AM
incoming · -0.97 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW6MPH

From SE · gust 8

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

89% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 89%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.1 ft

incoming

-0.97 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowSat 7:00 AM · -1.13
  • HighSat 1:00 PM · 1.09
  • LowSat 7:00 PM · -1.04
  • HighSun 1:00 AM · 0.98
  • LowSun 8:00 AM · -0.95

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 12 mph · Clouds · 8%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    6.8

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.7

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.7

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    wadeskifffly
  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    6.7

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly

When

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Sat 8:00 AMSat 3:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Sat 2:00 PMSat 9:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.3

    Sat 8:00 PMSun 3:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Sun 3:00 AMSun 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Sun 9:00 AMSun 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 6 mph SE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

4.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

4.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.