On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish should be the day — the Marls and Cherokee on foot, or the ocean cays by skiff.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-10-30, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
6.9OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Friday, October 30. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 6.9 on Friday, October 30. 6 mph SE. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-2.0-1.0-0.01.02.0LHLHLHLHFri 8 AMSat 8 AMSun 7 AMMon 7 AM
incoming · 0.87 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW6MPH

From SE · gust 8

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

80% lit

Waning gibbous

mid range · 80%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.5 ft

incoming

0.87 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowFri 3:00 AM · -1.12
  • HighFri 9:00 AM · 1.14
  • LowFri 4:00 PM · -1.18
  • HighFri 10:00 PM · 1.23
  • LowSat 4:00 AM · -1.27

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 12 mph · Clouds · 8%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    7.4

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Permit, Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.3

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    wadeskifffly
  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    6.8

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.7

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly

When

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Fri 8:00 AMFri 11:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Fri 11:00 AMFri 6:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Fri 5:00 PMSat 12:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.3

    Fri 11:00 PMSat 6:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Sat 5:00 AMSat 12:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 6 mph SE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waning gibbous moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

6.6

Thermal window

64°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.