Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Bahamas · Abaco
Bonefish should be the day — the Marls and Cherokee on foot, or the ocean cays by skiff.
Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2026-10-15. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Thursday, October 15. Back to this morning
Morning line
Abaco 8.2 on Thursday, October 15 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
incoming · 0.90 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Sky not in
Sky not in
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Moon
18% lit
Waxing crescent
mid range · 18%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 2.4 ft
incoming
0.90 ft modeled
Clock
Modeled M2
- LowThu 3:00 AM · -1.09
- HighThu 9:00 AM · 1.12
- LowThu 3:00 PM · -1.14
- HighThu 10:00 PM · 1.19
- LowFri 4:00 AM · -1.24
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 8.4
Cherokee Sound
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
wadeskifffly - 7.7
The Marls
hard flat · field manual · skinny
Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.
- — hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffwadefly - 7.7
Great Guana ocean reef / bar
sand dropoff · field manual · mid
Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.
- — sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit, Bonefish.
skiffspinfly - 7.1
Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.
- — creek bight on a incoming tide is a classic match.
- — In-play: Bonefish.
skiffflyspin
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Incoming water
9.4Thu 8:00 AM → Thu 11:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
9.4Thu 10:00 AM → Thu 5:00 PM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Incoming water
9.1Thu 5:00 PM → Fri 12:00 AM
Moving water in the right part of the day.
Outgoing water
8.0Thu 11:00 PM → Fri 6:00 AM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Incoming water
9.4Fri 5:00 AM → Fri 12:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
6.6
Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
—
Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
—
Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.