On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish are the hunt — sit the remaining Marls guts.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-10-13, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.4OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Tuesday, October 13. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 7.4 on Tuesday, October 13. 11 mph ESE. Clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.8-0.90.00.91.8HLHLHLHLTue 8 AMWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AM
low slack · 0.78 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW11MPH

From ESE · gust 13

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clear

Clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

5% lit

Waxing crescent

mid range · 5%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.8 ft

low slack

0.78 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • HighTue 8:00 AM · 0.78
  • LowTue 2:00 PM · -0.83
  • HighTue 8:00 PM · 0.88
  • LowWed 2:00 AM · -0.91
  • HighWed 8:00 AM · 0.93

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 12 mph · Clouds · 10%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    6.9

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Permit, Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.3

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    wadeskifffly
  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    5.9

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    5.6

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a low slack tide is a secondary match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Tue 9:00 AMTue 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Tue 3:00 PMTue 10:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    8.7

    Tue 9:00 PMWed 4:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    10.0

    Wed 3:00 AMWed 10:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    10.0

    Wed 10:00 AMWed 5:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is low slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Clear. Sky is workable.
  • Wind 11 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

5.5

Thermal window

64°92°

Present, not peak.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

5.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.5

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.5

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.