On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish should be the day — the Sea of Abaco edges as they empty.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-06-27. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
8.6OF 10

Tide + moon

low confidence

Forecast brief for Saturday, June 27. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 8.6 on Saturday, June 27 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.4-0.70.00.71.4LHLHLHLHSat 8 AMSun 8 AMMon 8 AMTue 8 AM
outgoing · -1.00 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESWMPH

No wind reading

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Sky not in

Sky not in

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

93% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 93%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.0 ft

outgoing

-1.00 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowSat 8:00 AM · -1.00
  • HighSat 3:00 PM · 0.96
  • LowSat 9:00 PM · -0.94
  • HighSun 3:00 AM · 0.90
  • LowSun 9:00 AM · -0.85

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    8.1

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Permit, Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    7.7

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    wadeskifffly
  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.5

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    7.0

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly

When

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Sat 8:00 AMSat 10:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.4

    Sat 10:00 AMSat 4:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Sat 4:00 PMSat 11:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.0

    Sat 10:00 PMSun 5:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Sun 4:00 AMSun 11:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.