On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Bonefish should be the day — the Sea of Abaco edges as they empty.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

  • This brief is for 2026-04-29, not this morning. Wind is a forecast. Observed water versus the table is a today-only instrument.
7.5OF 10

Forecast

low confidence

Forecast brief for Wednesday, April 29. Back to this morning

Morning line

Abaco 7.5 on Wednesday, April 29. 8 mph E. Partly cloudy. YOLO day is Monday, August 31. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.4-0.70.00.71.4LHLHLHLHWed 8 AMThu 8 AMFri 8 AMSat 8 AM
outgoing · -0.99 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW8MPH

From E · gust 11

Sky

OPEN-METEO

Clouds

Partly cloudy

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

93% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 93%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.9 ft

outgoing

-0.99 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowWed 8:00 AM · -0.99
  • HighWed 3:00 PM · 0.96
  • LowWed 9:00 PM · -0.93
  • HighThu 3:00 AM · 0.89
  • LowThu 9:00 AM · -0.83

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Monday, August 31 · 9.2

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waning gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 16 mph · Clouds · 55%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.

  • Great Guana ocean reef / bar

    sand dropoff · field manual · mid

    7.8

    Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.

    • sand dropoff on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Permit, Bonefish.
    skiffspinfly
  • Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks

    creek bight · field manual · mid

    7.3

    Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.

    • creek bight on a outgoing tide is a classic match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffflyspin
  • Cherokee Sound

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    6.7

    Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish, Permit.
    wadeskifffly
  • The Marls

    hard flat · field manual · skinny

    6.1

    Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.

    • hard flat on a outgoing tide is a workable match.
    • In-play: Bonefish.
    skiffwadefly

When

When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Wed 8:00 AMWed 10:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Wed 10:00 AMWed 5:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.4

    Wed 4:00 PMWed 11:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.3

    Wed 10:00 PMThu 5:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Thu 4:00 AMThu 11:00 AM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

Why — and who

  • Tide is outgoing (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Partly cloudy. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 8 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

8.4

Thermal window

64°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

8.4

Thermal window

66°92°

In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. Present, not peak. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (outgoing) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 7 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.