Permit
Trachinotus falcatus
Thermal window
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In peak season for this water.
Bahamas: catch-and-release.
Bahamas · Abaco
Permit should be the day — verify which creeks are actually open, then wait for water.
Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.
- ⚠ This brief is for 2025-07-27. No wind forecast that far out — score is tide, moon, and season. Not a copper day.
- Tide · modeled — no NOAA gauge
- No NDBC on this desk
- Sargassum check failed — not all-clear
- Glass · no dock barometer
Tide + moon
low confidence
Forecast brief for Sunday, July 27. Back to this morning
Morning line
Abaco 7.3 on Sunday, July 27 — tide, moon, and season only. No wind forecast that far out. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.
high slack · 0.77 ft · drag or hover for the clockModeled M2 clock — no NOAA gauge on this water. Not a buoy.
Wind
OPEN-METEO
No wind reading
Buoy
No station
None
No honest NDBC or C-MAN near this water. Do not invent a buoy.
Sky
OPEN-METEO
Sky not in
Sky not in
A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.
Glass
No barometer
—
No live or modeled glass on this desk.
Three-hour change on this station. The glass is not a bite.
Moon
5% lit
Waxing crescent
mid range · 5%
Water
No gauge
Water
—
Today’s range 1.8 ft
high slack
0.77 ft modeled
Coast
No live coast layer
Sargassum check failed. Not a GPS pin. Not all-clear.
Clock
Modeled M2
- HighSun 7:00 AM · 0.77
- LowSun 2:00 PM · -0.82
- HighSun 8:00 PM · 0.87
- LowMon 2:00 AM · -0.91
- HighMon 8:00 AM · 0.93
Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.
Next two weeks
Pulling the 14-day strip…
Where
This pip is that mark on this tide — not the day on the ring.
- 6.4
Cherokee Sound
hard flat · public structure · skinny
Classic wade. Ocean influence. Wind is the whole problem.
- — hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
- — In-play: Permit.
wadeskifffly - 5.9
Great Guana ocean reef / bar
sand dropoff · field manual · mid
Nipper's sits on the dune above one of the prettier reefs. The bar is intel. The fish are on the ocean side.
- — sand dropoff on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
- — In-play: Permit.
skiffspinfly - 5.7
The Marls
hard flat · field manual · skinny
Wadeable, mangrove, skinny. The Abaco classroom. Verify post-Dorian access.
- — hard flat on a high slack tide is a workable match.
skiffwadefly - 5.3
Little Harbour / south Abaco creeks
creek bight · field manual · mid
Pete's Pub is the bronze-foundry bar. The creeks behind it are the water.
- — creek bight on a high slack tide is a secondary match.
skiffflyspin
When
When is moving water in a good hour — not the day. First light and last light are named when the clock is the story. Today’s ring mixes the best mark, the lead fish, and the best window, then taxes the sky. A strong incoming can sit under a weak day if the wind or the fish is off. Calendar cells are a third recipe: range, moon, and the day’s forecast.
Outgoing water
8.5Sun 9:00 AM → Sun 4:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Last light · incoming
9.4Sun 3:00 PM → Sun 10:00 PM
Last light on incoming water.
Last light · outgoing
9.4Sun 9:00 PM → Mon 4:00 AM
Last light on outgoing water.
First light · incoming
9.4Mon 3:00 AM → Mon 10:00 AM
First light on incoming water.
Outgoing water
7.1Mon 10:00 AM → Mon 5:00 PM
Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.
Why — and who
- — Tide is high slack (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
- — Waxing crescent moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.
7.3
Bonefish
Albula vulpes
Thermal window
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Off-season here.
Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.
Jack crevalle
Caranx hippos
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.
Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.
Great barracuda
Sphyraena barracuda
Thermal window
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Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water.
Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.
Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 6 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.