On This Water

Florida · Florida Bay / Flamingo

Redfish should be the day — flood Snake Bight and the Flamingo banks — backcountry reds and snook, not oceanside bones.

Backcountry. Reds and snook live here, not on the oceanside. Snake Bight, First National, the banks west of Flamingo. Wind and water color decide the day.

  • Thunderstorms in the forecast. Lightning is a stay-tied call. The score is not a safety brief.
  • Snook are typically closed to harvest on the SE/Atlantic coast in this window. Verify FWC.
4.3OF 10

Today

medium confidence

Morning line

Flamingo 4.3 this morning. 7 mph E. Thunderstorms · 14%. YOLO day is Friday, August 28. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-0.9-0.5-0.00.40.9LHLHLHLHNOWMon 8 PMTue 8 PMWed 8 PMThu 8 PM
incoming · 0.60 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

NWS

NESW7MPH

From E

Sky

14% rain

Storms

Thunderstorms · 14%

Lightning is a stay-tied call.

Moon

91% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 91%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 1.3 ft

incoming

0.60 ft modeled

Clock

NOAA 8723970

  • LowMon 7:41 PM · -0.68
  • HighTue 1:41 AM · 0.66
  • LowTue 7:41 AM · -0.64
  • HighTue 1:41 PM · 0.61
  • LowTue 7:41 PM · -0.57

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Friday, August 28 · 8.1

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. full · spring · tide range ~0.7 ft · wind to 10 mph · Thunderstorms · 51%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

No marks match this method on this water.

When

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Tue 1:41 AMTue 3:41 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Tue 2:41 AMTue 9:41 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.2

    Tue 8:41 AMTue 3:41 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.1

    Tue 2:41 PMTue 9:41 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.1

    Tue 9:41 PMWed 4:41 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

County and state ramps near this water. FKNMS no-take is Keys-only, on the legal list.

  • Flamingo Marina

    NPS Everglades National Park

    The Florida Bay launch. Park fee. Backcountry permit if you camp.

    Official source

Legal water

NOAA FKNMS management zones — Sanctuary Preservation Areas, Ecological Reserves, Research-Only.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — the NOAA gauge did not answer).
  • Thunderstorms · 14%. Lightning is a stay-tied call.
  • Wind 7 mph E. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

6.6

Thermal window

48°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida SE: typically 18–27 in, 1/person, 2/vessel. Harvest banned in federal waters. Keys backcountry, not oceanside. Boca Harbor yes.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

6.6

Thermal window

68°94°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release. Fish over 40 in must stay in the water. One harvest tag/year only for a potential IGFA record.

Snook

Centropomus undecimalis

2.3

Thermal window

56°92°

Closed to harvest — still swims, do not keep. Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Region matters. SE/Atlantic (Jupiter, Biscayne): typically 28–32 in, 1/day, closed Dec 15–Jan 31 and June 1–Aug 31. Charlotte Harbor / Southwest (Boca Grande): typically 28–33 in, closed Dec 1–end of Feb and May 1–Sep 30. Snook permit required. Verify FWC.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Ciguatera risk rises with size. Do not keep a big one for the table.

Regs citedFWC saltwater recreational · current FWC regional rules · rolls in 8 days. Snook closures are regional. Boca Grande is not Jupiter. Verify FWC before you keep one.