On This Water

Florida · Middle Keys / Marathon

Permit are the hunt — Seven Mile current and the oceanside patches — permit and tarpon, not a bonefish morning. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

Vaca Key gauge. Oceanside wrecks and patch reefs, bayside basins, Seven Mile Bridge current. Permit and tarpon more than bones.

  • Extreme water temperature. Fish stress quickly — keep them wet, or don't boat them.
  • Thunderstorms in the forecast. Lightning is a stay-tied call. The score is not a safety brief.
  • Snook are typically closed to harvest on the SE/Atlantic coast in this window. Verify FWC.
4.5OF 10

Today

high confidence

Morning line

Marathon 4.5 this morning. 3 mph ESE. Thunderstorms · 14%. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
0.00.30.71.01.4HLHLHLHLNOWSun 8 PMMon 8 PMTue 8 PMWed 8 PMThu 8 PM
incoming · 0.69 ftNOAA hourly · ft MLLW

Wind

NOAA

NESW3MPH

From ESE · gust 7

Sky

14% rain

Storms

Thunderstorms · 14%

Lightning is a stay-tied call.

Moon

91% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 91%

Water

NOAA 8723970

Water

91.8°

48°92°

Today’s range 0.9 ft

incoming

0.69 ft MLLW

Clock

NOAA 8723970

  • HighTue 11:15 AM · 1.10
  • LowTue 6:03 PM · 0.29
  • HighWed 3:18 AM · 0.87
  • LowWed 5:23 AM · 0.79
  • HighWed 12:18 PM · 1.14

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 8.3

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~1.4 ft · wind to 10 mph · Thunderstorms · 49%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Vaca oceanside wrecks / patches

    wreck edge · field manual · deep

    6.2

    Crab on the wreck is a different permit game than the tailer on the flat.

    • wreck edge on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Permit, Tarpon.
    • Water is hot — deeper guts, passes, and shade hold oxygen and fish.
    skiffspinfly
  • Seven Mile Bridge current

    channel gut · public structure · deep

    5.9

    Current seams. Permit and tarpon. Not a bonefish walk.

    • channel gut on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Permit, Tarpon.
    • Water is hot — deeper guts, passes, and shade hold oxygen and fish.
    skiffstructurespinfly
  • FL - Long Key State Park (Keys)

    sand dropoff · saved map · mid

    5.6

    Oceanfront camping with bonefish flats at the tent. Reserve far ahead. · camp-surf · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • sand dropoff on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Permit, Tarpon, Hogfish, Yellowtail snapper.
    structurespinwade
  • Marathon bayside basins

    grass flat · public structure · mid

    5.2

    Vaca Key gauge. Backcountry light. Summer showers, then wait for the color to come back.

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Tarpon.
    skiffkayakflyspin

When

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Tue 2:00 AMTue 5:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.6

    Tue 4:00 AMTue 6:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Tue 6:00 AMTue 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.6

    Tue 1:00 PMTue 8:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Tue 10:00 PMWed 5:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

County and state ramps near this water. FKNMS no-take is Keys-only, on the legal list.

  • Bahia Honda State Park

    Florida State Parks

    Middle Keys bridge and oceanside. Adjacent FKNMS polygons are no-take — check the red rings.

    Official source

Legal water

NOAA FKNMS management zones — Sanctuary Preservation Areas, Ecological Reserves, Research-Only.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming from NOAA.
  • Observed water is close to the astronomical prediction — the table is telling the truth today.
  • Water 91.8°F. Heat is the locator: early, late, deeper.
  • Thunderstorms · 14%. Lightning is a stay-tied call.
  • Wind 3 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Hogfish

Lachnolaimus maximus

7.0

Thermal window

91.8°

66°90°

In peak season for this water. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: Atlantic and Gulf bags differ. Monroe County is tighter. Fork-length minimum. Verify FWC.

Yellowtail snapper

Ocyurus chrysurus

7.0

Thermal window

91.8°

66°90°

In peak season for this water. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: typically 12 in total length, inside the snapper aggregate. Verify FWC.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

5.2

Thermal window

91.8°

68°94°

Present, not peak. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release. Fish over 40 in must stay in the water. One harvest tag/year only for a potential IGFA record.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

5.2

Thermal window

91.8°

66°92°

Present, not peak. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: hook-and-line. Special Permit Zone (Keys) is tighter than the rest of the state — typically C&R. Verify FWC.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

3.4

Thermal window

91.8°

64°92°

Off-season here. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release only, hook-and-line only.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

91.8°

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

91.8°

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Ciguatera risk rises with size. Do not keep a big one for the table.

Regs citedFWC saltwater recreational · current FWC regional rules · rolls in 8 days. Snook closures are regional. Boca Grande is not Jupiter. Verify FWC before you keep one.