On This Water

Bahamas · Abaco

Permit should be the day — the Marls and Cherokee on foot, or the ocean cays by skiff.

Sea of Abaco, Marls, Cherokee, the ocean cays. Wadeable Marls and skiff water both. Rebuilt after Dorian — verify which creeks and lodges are actually running.

5.7OF 10

Today

medium confidence

Morning line

Abaco 5.7 this morning. 5 mph SE. Mostly clear. YOLO day is Tuesday, August 25. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
-1.5-0.7-0.00.71.5LHLHLHLHNOWMon 8 PMTue 8 PMWed 8 PMThu 8 PM
incoming · 0.70 ftModeled M2 · not a gauge

Wind

OPEN-METEO

NESW5MPH

From SE · gust 7

Sky

1% rain

Clouds

Mostly clear

A 20% shower chance is not a cancel. A soaker is.

Moon

91% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 91%

Water

No gauge

Water

48°92°

Today’s range 2.1 ft

incoming

0.70 ft modeled

Clock

Modeled M2

  • LowMon 8:26 PM · -1.09
  • HighTue 2:26 AM · 1.07
  • LowTue 8:26 AM · -1.04
  • HighTue 2:26 PM · 0.99
  • LowTue 8:26 PM · -0.94

Bahamas tides are modeled from lunar M2. Use them for windows, not a bar crossing.

Monthly YOLO day

Tuesday, August 25 · 9.7

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast — and it is a copper day. waxing gibbous · mid · tide range ~2.1 ft · wind to 11 mph · Clouds · 8%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

No marks match this method on this water.

When

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Tue 1:26 AMTue 4:26 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Tue 3:26 AMTue 10:26 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.8

    Tue 9:26 AMTue 4:26 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Outgoing water

    9.7

    Tue 3:26 PMTue 10:26 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    9.7

    Tue 9:26 PMWed 4:26 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming (modeled — no NOAA gauge on this water).
  • Mostly clear. Clouds steal the window on bones and permit.
  • Wind 5 mph SE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Sight water often prefers a moderate range and clean water over a huge spring.

Permit

Trachinotus falcatus

6.6

Thermal window

66°92°

Present, not peak. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: catch-and-release.

Bonefish

Albula vulpes

4.8

Thermal window

64°92°

Off-season here. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Bahamas: treat as C&R. Flats licensing has been tightening — verify before you wade.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat as incidental. Not why you booked the flat.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Treat big cuda as catch-and-release. Not why you booked the flat.

Regs citedBahamas flats and bonefish rules · current Bahamas guidance · rolls in 8 days. Catch-and-release is the culture on the bonefish flats. No NOAA gauge. No invented holes.