On This Water

Florida · Florida Bay / Flamingo

Redfish are the hunt — flood Snake Bight and the Flamingo banks — backcountry reds and snook, not oceanside bones. Heat is the clock — first light or last light.

Backcountry. Reds and snook live here, not on the oceanside. Snake Bight, First National, the banks west of Flamingo. Wind and water color decide the day.

  • Extreme water temperature. Fish stress quickly — keep them wet, or don't boat them.
  • Thunderstorms in the forecast. Lightning is a stay-tied call. The score is not a safety brief.
  • Snook are typically closed to harvest on the SE/Atlantic coast in this window. Verify FWC.
4.2OF 10

Today

high confidence

Morning line

Flamingo 4.2 this morning. 3 mph ESE. Thunderstorms · 14%. Wind versus the table: +0.3 ft. YOLO day is Friday, August 28. Scores are 1–10, not a bite.

Mail it
0.00.30.71.01.4HLHLHLHLNOWSun 8 PMMon 8 PMTue 8 PMWed 8 PMThu 8 PM
incoming · 0.70 ftNOAA hourly · ft MLLW

Wind

NOAA

NESW3MPH

From ESE · gust 7

Sky

14% rain

Storms

Thunderstorms · 14%

Lightning is a stay-tied call.

Moon

91% lit

Waxing gibbous

mid range · 91%

Water

NOAA 8723970

Water

91.8°

48°92°

Today’s range 0.9 ft

incoming

0.70 ft MLLW

Wind vs table

Observed − predicted

+0.30 ft

Observed minus predicted. Read the water, not just the printout.

Clock

NOAA 8723970

  • HighTue 11:15 AM · 1.10
  • LowTue 6:03 PM · 0.29
  • HighWed 3:18 AM · 0.87
  • LowWed 5:23 AM · 0.79
  • HighWed 12:18 PM · 1.14

Monthly YOLO day

Friday, August 28 · 8.1

Best remaining dry day this month with a real wind forecast. full · spring · tide range ~0.7 ft · wind to 10 mph · Thunderstorms · 51%

Next two weeks

Pulling the 14-day strip…

Where

  • Snake Bight

    grass flat · field manual · skinny

    5.2

    USGS GNIS 291282 (Snake Bight Channel). Flamingo backcountry. Reds live here, not on the oceanside. Wind and color decide it.

    USGS GNIS 291282

    • grass flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skiffflyspin
  • First National Bank

    hard flat · public structure · skinny

    5.2

    A named bank, not a secret. Sight if the water holds.

    • hard flat on a incoming tide is a classic match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Redfish.
    skifffly
  • Flamingo basins / Buttonwood

    mangrove edge · public structure · mid

    5.2

    Creeks and basins. Outgoing along the roots. Summer heat: early.

    • mangrove edge on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Redfish, Tarpon.
    skiffkayakspinfly
  • FL - Florida Bay (Flamingo)

    mangrove edge · saved map · mid

    5.2

    Snake Bight & the backcountry; campground on site. · flats · GULF ATLAS! - FISH

    • mangrove edge on a incoming tide is a workable match.
    • Thunderstorms — this mark is a stay-tied call, not a window.
    • In-play: Redfish, Tarpon.
    skiffkayakwadeflyspin

When

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Tue 2:00 AMTue 5:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.6

    Tue 4:00 AMTue 6:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Tue 6:00 AMTue 1:00 PM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

  • Outgoing water

    8.6

    Tue 1:00 PMTue 8:00 PM

    Water is moving, but the clock is against you — heat or dark.

  • Incoming water

    8.6

    Tue 10:00 PMWed 5:00 AM

    Moving water in the right part of the day.

Launch and beach access

County and state ramps near this water. FKNMS no-take is Keys-only, on the legal list.

  • Flamingo Marina

    NPS Everglades National Park

    The Florida Bay launch. Park fee. Backcountry permit if you camp.

    Official source

Legal water

NOAA FKNMS management zones — Sanctuary Preservation Areas, Ecological Reserves, Research-Only.

No FKNMS polygon in this box. Mainland Florida, Louisiana, Texas, Mexico, and the Bahamas are not Keys sanctuary closures.

Why — and who

  • Tide is incoming from NOAA.
  • Observed water is close to the astronomical prediction — the table is telling the truth today.
  • Water 91.8°F. Heat is the locator: early, late, deeper.
  • Thunderstorms · 14%. Lightning is a stay-tied call.
  • Wind 3 mph ESE. Castable. Sight-fishing is on if the sun is out.
  • Waxing gibbous moon — mid tide range. Marsh and passes usually want the extra current of a spring.

Redfish

Sciaenops ocellatus

5.2

Thermal window

91.8°

48°92°

Present, not peak. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida SE: typically 18–27 in, 1/person, 2/vessel. Harvest banned in federal waters. Keys backcountry, not oceanside. Boca Harbor yes.

Tarpon

Megalops atlanticus

5.2

Thermal window

91.8°

68°94°

Present, not peak. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Florida: catch-and-release. Fish over 40 in must stay in the water. One harvest tag/year only for a potential IGFA record.

Snook

Centropomus undecimalis

1.8

Thermal window

91.8°

56°92°

Closed to harvest — still swims, do not keep. Present, not peak. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Region matters. SE/Atlantic (Jupiter, Biscayne): typically 28–32 in, 1/day, closed Dec 15–Jan 31 and June 1–Aug 31. Charlotte Harbor / Southwest (Boca Grande): typically 28–33 in, closed Dec 1–end of Feb and May 1–Sep 30. Snook permit required. Verify FWC.

Jack crevalle

Caranx hippos

5.8

Thermal window

91.8°

64°94°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Still, do not leave a pile.

Great barracuda

Sphyraena barracuda

5.8

Thermal window

91.8°

66°92°

Bycatch and beach noise — not the reason you came. In peak season for this water. Water 92°F is the hot edge for this fish. This tide stage (incoming) matches how they hunt.

Generally unregulated. Ciguatera risk rises with size. Do not keep a big one for the table.

Regs citedFWC saltwater recreational · current FWC regional rules · rolls in 8 days. Snook closures are regional. Boca Grande is not Jupiter. Verify FWC before you keep one.